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MyTrendTimer Financial Market Trend Timing report

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March 25th, Bullish Trend (Buy Signal)
None for now, thanks to coronavirus...
March 25th, Bearish Trend (Sell Signal)
Dow Jones Industrial
Swiss Market Index SMI
USD to CHF
NASDAQ Composite
Standard and Poors 500
Standard and Poors 100
 
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March 14th, 2020
NASDAQ Composite
Dow Jones Industrial
Standard and Poors 100
Standard and Poors 500
Swiss Market Index SMI
USD to CHF
 
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NASDAQ Composite
Dow Jones Industrial
Standard and Poors 100
Standard and Poors 500
Swiss Market Index SMI
USD to CHF
 
 
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MyTrendTimer : U.S. Dollar to Swiss Franc analysis of January 21, 2020
Description of this asset/index
The dollar (currency code USD) is the unit of currency of the United States. The U.S. dollar has also been adopted as the official and legal currency by the governments in a few other countries. The U.S. dollar is normally abbreviated as the dollar sign, $, or as USD or US$ to distinguish it from other dollar-denominated currencies and from others that use the $ symbol. It is divided into 100 cents. The franc (currency code CHF) is the currency and legal tender of Switzerland and Liechtenstein. The Italian exclave Campione d'Italia and the German exclave Büsingen also use the Swiss franc. Franc banknotes are issued by the central bank of Switzerland, the Swiss National Bank, while coins are issued by the federal mint, Swissmint.
Financial InstrumentValue
Asset NameU.S. Dollar to Swiss Franc
SymbolUSDCHF=X
CurrencyCHF
Underlying instrumentSpot or term Forex Market
Trend/SignalValue
Current Trend/Signal Bearish (last signal was a Sell)
Strength-1.1
DateJanuary 21, 2020
Generated Signals Chart
A chart of U.S. Dollar to Swiss Franc USDCHF=X dated January 21, 2020 to backtest the trend timer model buy and sell signals
Generated Signals
NatureDate (dd.MM.yyyy)# Days previous op.QuoteResult previous op.
Buy22.03.20010001.73070+0.00
Sell02.08.20011321.71140-1.12
Buy24.01.20021751.67500-2.13
Sell25.03.20020601.66550-0.57
Buy28.03.20020031.68180+0.98
Sell01.04.20020031.66260-1.14
Buy15.07.20034701.37910-17.05
Sell30.09.20030771.32060-4.24
Buy06.04.20041891.29745-1.75
Sell28.05.20040521.25440-3.32
Buy31.08.20040951.26805+1.09
Sell30.09.20040301.24870-1.53
Buy09.02.20051321.21770-2.48
Sell22.02.20050131.16335-4.46
Buy06.04.20050421.20735+3.78
Sell19.01.20062881.28145+6.14
Buy09.02.20060211.30240+1.63
Sell19.04.20060681.27120-2.40
Buy21.09.20061551.25120-1.57
Sell22.09.20060011.23455-1.33
Buy28.09.20060061.24825+1.11
Sell21.11.20060541.24115-0.57
Buy19.01.20070591.25000+0.71
Sell28.02.20070401.22120-2.30
Buy11.06.20071021.23975+1.52
Sell09.07.20070281.21710-1.83
Buy11.08.20083991.08380-10.95
Sell26.12.20081371.07010-1.26
Buy28.01.20090331.14440+6.94
Sell04.05.20090951.12880-1.36
Buy28.01.20102691.05200-6.80
Sell07.07.20101591.05460+0.25
Buy21.09.20114410.89330-15.29
Sell30.03.20121910.90290+1.07
Buy06.04.20120070.91770+1.64
Sell30.04.20120240.90820-1.04
Buy04.05.20120040.91760+1.04
Sell14.09.20121330.92510+0.82
Buy05.03.20131720.94320+1.96
Sell19.06.20131050.91940-2.52
Buy02.07.20130130.94930+3.25
Sell29.07.20130270.93090-1.94
Buy23.01.20141780.91070-2.17
Sell25.01.20140020.89650-1.56
Buy26.05.20141200.89470-0.20
Sell21.01.20152400.86000-3.88
Buy05.03.20150430.97380+13.23
Sell01.05.20150560.93420-4.07
Buy17.07.20150770.96070+2.84
Sell11.03.20162380.98170+2.19
Buy27.05.20160760.99170+1.02
Sell08.06.20160120.95970-3.23
Buy15.07.20160370.98340+2.47
Sell12.08.20160280.97410-0.95
Buy11.10.20160600.98720+1.34
Sell08.02.20171200.99350+0.64
Buy13.02.20170051.00510+1.17
Sell23.03.20170380.99280-1.22
Buy17.04.20170241.00700+1.43
Sell20.04.20170030.99700-0.99
Buy10.10.20171730.97444-2.26
Sell11.01.20180930.97482+0.04
Buy19.04.20180970.97133-0.36
Sell31.08.20181340.96980-0.16
Buy11.10.20180410.99204+2.29
Sell01.01.20190820.98290-0.92
Buy24.01.20190230.99640+1.37
Sell07.06.20191330.98750-0.89
Buy30.09.20191150.99780+1.04
Sell11.12.20190720.98570-1.21
Info : Current21.01.20200410.96800-1.80
Return and result of the differents strategies
Time Weighted Return ofValue (over the Period)
Buy and Hold-39.25
Model Buy and Hold-44.07
Model Long Only-34.15
Model Short Only+15.07
Model Long and Short-24.22
Time Weighted Return ofValue (Annualized)
Buy and Hold-2.06
Model Buy and Hold-2.31
Model Long Only-1.79
Model Short Only+0.79
Model Long and Short-1.27
Model OverPerf vs Model Buy and HoldValue (Annualized)
Model Long vs Model Buy and Hold+0.52
Model Short vs Model Buy and Hold+3.10
Model Long and Short vs Model Buy and Hold+1.04
Model OverPerf vs Buy and HoldValue (Annualized)
Model Long vs Buy and Hold+0.27
Model Short vs Buy and Hold+2.85
Model Long and Short vs Buy and Hold+0.79
Various statistical indicators for this asset
Last 20 quotes StatisticsValue
Mean quote0.97141
Standard Deviation0.00527
Lowest quote0.96340
Highest quote0.98210
Median0.97275
Max Daily Loose percent-0.66721
Max Daily Gain percent0.53768
Simple Perf.-1.43570
Last 5 quotes StatisticsValue
Mean quote0.96687
Standard Deviation0.00216
Lowest quote0.96340
Highest quote0.96890
Median0.96615
Max Daily Loose percent-0.45464
Max Daily Gain percent0.32124
Simple Perf.0.02067
Previous year StatisticsValue
Mean quote0.99361
Standard Deviation0.01113
Lowest quote0.96770
Highest quote1.02150
Median0.99460
Max Daily Loose percent-1.40548
Max Daily Gain percent1.06579
Simple Perf.-1.54613
First quote0.98310
Last quote0.96790
Current year StatisticsValue
Mean quote0.96901
Standard Deviation0.00271
Lowest quote0.96340
Highest quote0.97280
Median0.96810
Max Daily Loose percent-0.45464
Max Daily Gain percent0.53768
Simple Perf.0.01034
First quote0.96790
Last quote0.96800
Seasonal Return by Month for this asset
MonthCumulated TWR Return.#MonthAverage TWR Return
January+6.0521+0.29
February+0.5220+0.03
March-6.3220-0.32
April-0.9620-0.05
May+2.2620+0.11
June-17.6420-0.88
July-1.4320-0.07
August+3.5620+0.18
September-2.1920-0.11
October+7.6820+0.38
November-0.7220-0.04
December-31.6720-1.58
TWR Return by Year for this asset
YearTWR Return.
2000+1.69
2001+2.46
2002-16.72
2003-10.56
2004-8.06
2005+15.90
2006-7.38
2007-7.15
2008-5.81
2009-3.06
2010-9.77
2011+0.41
2012-2.35
2013-2.75
2014+11.59
2015+0.82
2016+1.43
2017-4.19
2018+0.99
2019-1.55
2020+0.01
Year 2014 to 2015 Monthly performance
MonthYearPerformance
January2014+0.94
February2014-0.98
March2014-0.35
April2014-0.76
May2014+1.61
June2014-0.84
July2014+2.46
August2014+0.99
September2014+4.09
October2014+0.74
November2014+0.39
December2014+2.85
January2015-7.33
February2015+3.32
March2015+2.10
April2015-3.13
May2015-0.01
June2015-0.73
July2015+3.15
August2015+0.51
September2015+0.89
October2015+1.02
November2015+4.15
December2015-2.55
Year 2016 to 201n Monthly performance
MonthYearPerformance
January2016+2.14
February2016-2.60
March2016-3.81
April2016+0.17
May2016+3.54
June2016-1.49
July2016-1.03
August2016+1.41
September2016-1.36
October2016+2.06
November2016+2.91
December2016-0.23
January2017-2.66
February2017+1.32
March2017-0.21
April2017-0.58
May2017-2.58
June2017-1.06
July2017+0.62
August2017-0.32
September2017+0.76
October2017+2.98
November2017-1.33
December2017-1.07
January2018-4.31
February2018+1.23
March2018+1.12
April2018+3.96
May2018-0.74
June2018+0.84
July2018-0.23
August2018-2.02
September2018+0.59
October2018+3.31
November2018-0.92
December2018-1.56
January2019+1.06
February2019+0.45
March2019-0.23
April2019+2.43
May2019-1.64
June2019-2.73
July2019+1.49
August2019-0.02
September2019+0.78
October2019-1.12
November2019+1.36
December2019-3.21
January2020+0.01
Quotes UsedValue
Link on Quote FileUSDCHF_20200121.csv
Quote File Used/local/java/TrendTimer/quote_data/USDCHF_20200121.csv
# of Quotes5177
File first date (dd.MM.yyyy)03.01.2000
File first quote1.59350
File last date (dd.MM.yyyy)21.01.2020
File last quote0.96800
First data considered (dd.MM.yyyy)18.05.2000
First data considered1.73500
Min. Quote date (dd.MM.yyyy)10.08.2011
Min. Quote value0.73010
Max Quote date (dd.MM.yyyy)26.10.2000
Max Quote value1.82000
Max daily drop date (dd.MM.yyyy)15.01.2015
Max Daily Drop percent-12.12151
Max daily gain date (dd.MM.yyyy)06.09.2011
Max daily Gain percent9.46135
Signals StatisticsValue
# Generated Signals70
Avg # op. by year3.67
# Days6865
# Days in years19.07
Biggest loose (Long only)-4.46
Min # days uninvested (before Buy Signal)3
Max # days uninvested (before Buy Signal)470
Min # days invested (before Sell Signal)1
Max # days invested (before Sell Signal)288
TechnicalValue
Program NameMyTrendTimer v0.99.98.3
Java Version1.8.0_171
OS NameLinux
OS Version4.16.11-100.fc26.x86_64
User Namemarc
Calculation Time (Ms)167
Tech Id818544997-123960
XML output fileUSDCHF_20200121.xml
Web Roothttp://www.MyTrendTimer.com/
Complete Xml URLhttp://www.MyTrendTimer.com/xml/USDCHF_20200121.xml
# Warnings found71
Generated on (dd.MM.yyyy HH:mm:ss)21.01.2020 18:15:59
Disclaimer
All information provided "as is" for informational purposes only, not intended for trading purposes or advice. Prior to execution of any security trade, you are advised to consult your authorized financial advisor to verify the accuracy of all information. Neither MyTrendTimer nor anyone is liable for any informational errors, incompleteness, or delays, or for any actions taken in reliance on information contained herein. You can freely redistribute the information found herein as long as this disclaimer is included unmodified. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Some indexes, benchmarks or brand names may be trademarks or registered trademarks of their respective owners.
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