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MyTrendTimer Financial Market Trend Timing report

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December 10th, Bullish Trend (Buy Signal)
USD to CHF
December 10th, Bearish Trend (Sell Signal)
NASDAQ Composite
Standard and Poors 500
Standard and Poors 100
Dow Jones Industrial
Swiss Market Index SMI
 
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December 3rd, 2018
NASDAQ Composite
Dow Jones Industrial
Standard and Poors 100
Standard and Poors 500
Swiss Market Index SMI
USD to CHF
 
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NASDAQ Composite
Dow Jones Industrial
Standard and Poors 100
Standard and Poors 500
Swiss Market Index SMI
USD to CHF
 
 
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MyTrendTimer : Standard and Poors 100 analysis of June 23, 2018
Description of this asset/index
The S and P 100, or S and P 100 Index, is a stock market index of US stocks developed by the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), which later transferred the index to Standard and Poor's. Index options on the S and P 100 are traded with the ticker symbol "OEX". Because of the popularity of these options, investors often refer to the index by its ticker. The S and P 100, a subset of the S and P 500, is comprised of 100 leading U.S. stocks with exchange-listed options. Constituents of the S and P 100 are selected for sector balance and represent about 57% of the market capitalization of the S and P 500 and almost 45% of the market capitalization of the U.S. equity markets. The stocks in the S and P 100 are generally among the largest and most established companies in the S and P 500. In past years, turnover among stocks in the S and P 100 has been even lower than the turnover in the S and P 500.
Financial InstrumentValue
Asset NameStandard and Poors 100
SymbolOEX
CurrencyUSD
Underlying instrumentiShares SP 100 Index (OEF)
Trend/SignalValue
Current Trend/Signal Bullish (last signal was a Buy)
Strength0.7
DateJune 22, 2018
Generated Signals Chart
A chart of Standard and Poors 100 OEX dated June 22, 2018 to backtest the trend timer model buy and sell signals
Generated Signals
NatureDate (dd.MM.yyyy)# Days previous op.QuoteResult previous op.
Buy30.04.2003000465.53+0.00
Sell19.07.2004446536.29+15.20
Buy10.11.2004114555.54+3.59
Sell21.04.2005161554.67-0.16
Buy03.06.2005043565.30+1.92
Sell05.10.2005124556.70-1.52
Buy23.11.2005049582.01+4.55
Sell14.06.2006202563.94-3.10
Buy08.08.2006055586.13+3.93
Sell26.11.2007475657.79+12.23
Buy04.06.2009555438.04-33.41
Sell04.06.2010365483.42+10.36
Buy29.09.2010117516.31+6.80
Sell05.08.2011310542.48+5.07
Buy27.12.2011144573.51+5.72
Sell24.08.20151335830.79+44.86
Buy05.11.2015073936.54+12.73
Sell11.01.2016067858.07-8.38
Buy01.04.2016080919.33+7.14
Sell02.05.20187611'156.64+25.81
Buy11.05.20180091'200.00+3.75
Info : Current22.06.20180421'209.70+0.81
Return and result of the differents strategies
Time Weighted Return ofValue (over the Period)
Buy and Hold+53.36
Model Buy and Hold+159.85
Model Long Only+140.42
Model Short Only-8.09
Model Long and Short+120.98
Time Weighted Return ofValue (Annualized)
Buy and Hold+3.48
Model Buy and Hold+10.41
Model Long Only+9.15
Model Short Only-0.53
Model Long and Short+7.88
Model OverPerf vs Model Buy and HoldValue (Annualized)
Model Long vs Model Buy and Hold-1.27
Model Short vs Model Buy and Hold-10.94
Model Long and Short vs Model Buy and Hold-2.53
Model OverPerf vs Buy and HoldValue (Annualized)
Model Long vs Buy and Hold+5.67
Model Short vs Buy and Hold-4.00
Model Long and Short vs Buy and Hold+4.40
Various statistical indicators for this asset
Last 20 quotes StatisticsValue
Mean quote1'209.61
Standard Deviation12.51
Lowest quote1'180.00
Highest quote1'223.67
Median1'201.83
Max Daily Loose percent-1.17
Max Daily Gain percent1.27
Simple Perf.1.06
Last 5 quotes StatisticsValue
Mean quote1'213.80
Standard Deviation4.84
Lowest quote1'207.08
Highest quote1'220.09
Median1'213.58
Max Daily Loose percent-0.68
Max Daily Gain percent0.22
Simple Perf.-0.85
Previous year StatisticsValue
Mean quote1'081.79
Standard Deviation48.40
Lowest quote991.43
Highest quote1'192.22
Median1'091.82
Max Daily Loose percent-1.90
Max Daily Gain percent1.40
Simple Perf.19.34
First quote991.43
Last quote1'183.15
Current year StatisticsValue
Mean quote1'197.27
Standard Deviation30.60
Lowest quote1'131.65
Highest quote1'273.99
Median1'202.82
Max Daily Loose percent-4.31
Max Daily Gain percent2.82
Simple Perf.2.24
First quote1'183.15
Last quote1'209.70
Seasonal Return by Month for this asset
MonthCumulated TWR Return.#MonthAverage TWR Return
January-16.3519-0.86
February-14.2019-0.75
March+27.9419+1.47
April+29.8119+1.57
May+1.5419+0.08
June-16.2119-0.85
July+19.8218+1.10
August-8.8818-0.49
September-21.4818-1.19
October+32.5618+1.81
November+18.7018+1.04
December+12.1118+0.67
TWR Return by Year for this asset
YearTWR Return.
2000-12.97
2001-14.88
2002-23.88
2003+23.84
2004+4.45
2005-0.92
2006+15.86
2007+3.82
2008-37.06
2009+19.13
2010+10.08
2011+0.86
2012+13.28
2013+27.40
2014+10.27
2015+0.34
2016+8.78
2017+19.34
2018+2.24
Year 2014 to 2015 Monthly performance
MonthYearPerformance
January2014-4.14
February2014+3.61
March2014+1.22
April2014+0.95
May2014+1.99
June2014+1.50
July2014-0.77
August2014+3.52
September2014-0.88
October2014+1.65
November2014+2.28
December2014-0.86
January2015-3.59
February2015+5.67
March2015-2.54
April2015+1.59
May2015+1.07
June2015-1.93
July2015+2.52
August2015-6.76
September2015-2.30
October2015+9.25
November2015-0.03
December2015-1.62
Year 2016 to 201n Monthly performance
MonthYearPerformance
January2016-4.73
February2016-1.02
March2016+6.22
April2016+0.23
May2016+1.38
June2016+0.05
July2016+3.62
August2016-0.17
September2016-0.15
October2016-1.54
November2016+2.65
December2016+2.33
January2017+1.31
February2017+4.19
March2017-0.05
April2017+0.84
May2017+0.76
June2017+0.45
July2017+1.99
August2017+0.44
September2017+1.68
October2017+2.22
November2017+2.72
December2017+1.32
January2018+5.77
February2018-3.96
March2018-3.70
April2018+0.29
May2018+2.43
June2018+1.75
Quotes UsedValue
Link on Quote FileSP100_20180622.csv
Quote File Used/local/java/TrendTimer/quote_data/SP100_20180622.csv
# of Quotes4588
File first date (dd.MM.yyyy)03.01.2000
File first quote788.79
File last date (dd.MM.yyyy)22.06.2018
File last quote1'209.70
First data considered (dd.MM.yyyy)22.05.2000
First data considered748.04
Min. Quote date (dd.MM.yyyy)09.03.2009
Min. Quote value322.13
Max Quote date (dd.MM.yyyy)26.01.2018
Max Quote value1'273.99
Max daily drop date (dd.MM.yyyy)27.10.2008
Max Daily Drop percent-9.07
Max daily gain date (dd.MM.yyyy)13.10.2008
Max daily Gain percent11.24
Signals StatisticsValue
# Generated Signals21
Avg # op. by year1.37
# Days5527
# Days in years15.35
Biggest loose (Long only)-8.38
Min # days uninvested (before Buy Signal)9
Max # days uninvested (before Buy Signal)555
Min # days invested (before Sell Signal)67
Max # days invested (before Sell Signal)1335
TechnicalValue
Program NameMyTrendTimer v0.99.98.3
Java Version1.8.0_171
OS NameLinux
OS Version4.15.17-200.fc26.x86_64
User Namemarc
Calculation Time (Ms)197
Tech Id774986078-150970
XML output fileSP100_20180622.xml
Web Roothttp://www.MyTrendTimer.com/
Complete Xml URLhttp://www.MyTrendTimer.com/xml/SP100_20180622.xml
# Warnings found11
Generated on (dd.MM.yyyy HH:mm:ss)23.06.2018 20:42:06
Disclaimer
All information provided "as is" for informational purposes only, not intended for trading purposes or advice. Prior to execution of any security trade, you are advised to consult your authorized financial advisor to verify the accuracy of all information. Neither MyTrendTimer nor anyone is liable for any informational errors, incompleteness, or delays, or for any actions taken in reliance on information contained herein. You can freely redistribute the information found herein as long as this disclaimer is included unmodified. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Some indexes, benchmarks or brand names may be trademarks or registered trademarks of their respective owners.
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