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MyTrendTimer Financial Market Trend Timing report

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MyTrendTimer : Dow Jones Industrial Average of June 14, 2006
This is an automatically generated “Free Financial Market Trend Timing” report. The purpose of this document is to determine market trends (bullish or bearish) and follow them through generated buy or sell signals. The goal is to increase your stock trading gains. A mathematical model is used to process past market behaviour and calculate its impact on the future. (mainly because of investor psychology). The calculation/model application is done through a fully automated program called MyTrendTimer. What you are reading is the result of this software, without any human interpretation. This process is known has “Market Trend Timing”, “Market Timing” or sometimes “Timing the market”
Weekly Comment about this asset/index
We are down 8.1% from the highest level of year 2006 (11670 on 11.5.2006) We are almost even for year 2006 (10717.50 on 30.12.2005) On Thursday the European Central Bank raised rates, offsetting news of the death of al Qaeda's leader in Iraq. Stocks are like stuck on a rollercoaster ! Higher-than-expected inflation data stoked interest rate worries. Unfortunately, nothing really new from last week. Signal is still bullish but decreasing...
Financial InstrumentValue
Instrument NameDow Jones Industrial Average
Underlying instrumentDIAMONDS Trust, Series 1 (DIA)
Current Trend/Signal Bullish (last signal was a Buy)
Date (dd.MM.yyyy)14.06.2006
Last 5 quotes StatisticsValue
Mean quote10'924.60
Standard Deviation117.19
Lowest quote10'792.58
Highest quote11'084.00
Max Daily Loose percent-1.17
Max Daily Gain percent0.07
Simple Perf.-2.56
Last 20 quotes StatisticsValue
Mean quote11'135.50
Standard Deviation185.00
Lowest quote10'792.58
Highest quote11'448.00
Max Daily Loose percent-1.92
Max Daily Gain percent0.77
Simple Perf.-5.50
Previous year StatisticsValue
Mean quote10'551.25
Standard Deviation198.12
Lowest quote10'012.36
Highest quote10'955.00
Max Daily Loose percent-2.20
Max Daily Gain percent2.06
Simple Perf.-0.61
First quote10'783.01
Last quote10'717.50
Current year StatisticsValue
Mean quote11'119.15
Standard Deviation224.29
Lowest quote10'667.39
Highest quote11'670.00
Max Daily Loose percent-2.12
Max Daily Gain percent1.64
Simple Perf.0.77
First quote10'717.50
Last quote10'800.00
Quotes UsedValue
Quote File UsedDJX_20060614.csv
# of Quotes1606
File first date (dd.MM.yyyy)03.01.2000
File first quote11'455.00
File last date (dd.MM.yyyy)13.06.2006
File last quote10'800.00
First data considered (dd.MM.yyyy)19.05.2000
First data considered10'700.00
Min. Quote date (dd.MM.yyyy)09.10.2002
Min. Quote value7'286.27
Max Quote date (dd.MM.yyyy)14.01.2000
Max Quote value11'839.00
Max daily drop date (dd.MM.yyyy)14.04.2000
Max Daily Drop percent-6.07
Max daily gain date (dd.MM.yyyy)24.07.2002
Max daily Gain percent6.35
Operations StatisticsValue
# Generated operations16
Avg # op. by year3.10
# Days1856
# Days in years5.16
Biggest loose (Long only)-4.55
Time Weighted Return ofValue (over the Period)
Buy and Hold-5.72
Model Buy and Hold-0.63
Model Long Only-2.63
Model Short Only-2.04
Model Long and Short-4.62
Time Weighted Return ofValue (Annualized)
Buy and Hold-1.11
Model Buy and Hold-0.12
Model Long Only-0.51
Model Short Only-0.40
Model Long and Short-0.90
Model OverPerf vs Model Buy and HoldValue (Annualized)
Model Long vs Model Buy and Hold-0.39
Model Short vs Model Buy and Hold-0.27
Model Long and Short vs Model Buy and Hold-0.77
Model OverPerf vs Buy and HoldValue (Annualized)
Model Long vs Buy and Hold+0.60
Model Short vs Buy and Hold+0.71
Model Long and Short vs Buy and Hold+0.21
Generated Operations
NatureDate (dd.MM.yyyy)# Days previous op.QuoteResult previous op.
Generated Operations Chart
A chart image to backtest the model buy and sell signals
Program NameMyTrendTimer v0.99.70
Java Version1.5.0_06
OS NameLinux
OS Version2.6.16-1.2133_FC5
Calculation Time (Ms)1736
Tech Id377347699-146960
XML output fileDJX_20060614.xml
Web Root
Complete Xml URL
# Warnings found0
Generated on (dd.MM.yyyy HH:mm:ss)14.06.2006 20:37:47
All information provided "as is" for informational purposes only, not intended for trading purposes or advice. Prior to execution of any security trade, you are advised to consult your authorized financial advisor to verify the accuracy of all information. Neither MyTrendTimer nor anyone is liable for any informational errors, incompleteness, or delays, or for any actions taken in reliance on information contained herein. You can freely redistribute the information found herein as long as this disclaimer is included unmodified. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Some indexes, benchmarks or brand names may be trademarks or registered trademarks of their respective owners.
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